Why analysts, investors should play Oliver Twist - A Daily Download

Why analysts, investors should play Oliver Twist

Sukumar Ranganathan - Wednesday, January 21, 2009 9:40 AM

Are happenings at Satyam Computer Services Ltd, where founder Ramalinga Raju revealed on 7 January that he had, over the years, fudged the companys books to the tune of at least Rs 7136 crore encouraging analysts and investors to ask for more information on companies?
Indian companies, even some of the better managed ones, are notoriously stingy with details of their operations and financials. They reveal what they choose to reveal, not what the world wants to see. But are analysts and investors getting more aggressive about this?
And will regulators step into the act?
Analysts do seem to be becoming braver.
In a Mint poll on India's best governed companies (and the not so well governed) analysts and fund managers trashed companies that are part of the Mukesh Ambani controlled Reliance Industries Ltd group and those that are part of the Anil D Ambani Group, promoted by Mukesh's estranged younger brother Anil D Ambani. To be sure, like many other polls, this didn't list responses by individuals or even name all participants.
Today's Mint carries a page 1 story on how analysts are asking for more information from RIL. The basis for the story was a report put out by Kotak Securities Ltd, probably the first time a report has had harsh words about a company that usually doesn't respond well to criticism. A sampling: "There would be "significant value in the stock at current levels if the management can improve disclosures and conclusively address some of the gaps between the Street's understanding of its (RIL's) reported financials and reported financials."
Still better, another analyst commenting on the story, Maulik Patel at KR Choksey Shares and Securities, did so on the record.
Will RIL follow the advice dished out by the analysts?
Well, Mint's own experience in recent weeks, in terms of getting companies to answer critical questions hasn't been very encouraging.
On15 January, the paper asked Wipro, TCS, Satyam, and the World Bank to answer some questions on the debarring of the second and the third companies named from World Bank contracts. The questions were based on a Fox News investigation,  a Wall Street Journal story, and Mint's own reporting.
To date, there has been no answer from any of the firms.

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From Krishnaraj

January 21, 2009 12:51 PM
Sukumar - I think this is a positive development of the Satyam fiasco - if at all I am allowed to look at it that way. It is a well known fact that lots of companies hide their way in the Annual Report. An annual report of an Indian firm is too unrevealing about the state of the business except of Auditor's Report and Accounts - look at a Form 10K or 20F. It reveals so much information....in fact someone had argued that firms should disclose as much as they do in the Red Herring Prospectus in the Annual Report. And the quality of disclosures are also poor, in fact if you want I can do a gratis analysis of number of disclosures a firm makes to the stock exchanges vis-a-vis media reports or other disclosures (official / unofficial). And that leaves investors with a very short stick - Mutual Funds say they interact with management very frequently (Mr Kela of Reliance has gone on record in a CNBC interview) and I am sure companies entertain that and may even be giving "forward looking statements" that are not known to the public in general or the investing community in general....well, we have some way to go!

From Sundeep

January 22, 2009 11:52 AM
While this may be so, the fact is a lot of information is available in the Annual Report as well as other disclosures made by companies. But journalists who cover these companies rarely have the patience and the inclination to go through the fine print. Television journalists in particular, seem to rely purely on what company spokespersons have to say without going through the effort of analysing the data available in the public domain. It is much easier to ask a CEO about his favourite cuisine than to quiz him about the investor complaints listed in his annual report.

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